Guide & Methodology

Everything on this page explains what you're looking at, why it's here, and how to use it. Nothing on this calendar is a prediction of direction. It's a map of what's coming and how much the market thinks it matters.

What This Is

A forward-looking calendar of the scheduled events that move markets — from a single company's earnings to central bank decisions, and the wide field of corporate, economic, and geopolitical forces in between.

Most calendars tell you when something happens. This one also tells you how big a deal the market thinks it is before it happens, using real options prices. The goal is simple: never get blindsided, and know where to point your attention.

Global by Design

Markets don't stop at your border, and neither does this calendar. Alongside US events, it tracks central banks, economic releases, and companies across Europe, Asia, and beyond — so you can see what's moving in other regions before it reaches yours. Filter down to your own market when you want focus, or zoom out to catch what's coming worldwide.

Anatomy of an Event Card

Events show up in 2 forms: the compact card you scan on the calendar grid, and the full card that opens when you click it.

The Compact Card

This is what sits in each day column. It's built to be read at a glance, so it carries only a few things.

The Full Card

Click any event and this opens. Hover any part of it below to see what that element is telling you.

The Event Categories

Each event is tagged so you can filter to exactly what you care about.

• Economic Releases — scheduled data from governments and agencies that measure the health of an economy: gross domestic product (GDP), inflation measures like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), jobs reports, purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys, retail sales, and consumer confidence. These are the headline numbers that shape interest-rate expectations and can move entire markets the instant they hit.
• Central Bank — decisions and communications from the world's central banks: the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of Japan, and others. Covers rate decisions, meeting minutes, and policy speeches. Because central banks set the price of money, these sit among the most closely watched events on any calendar.
• Sovereign Debt — government borrowing activity worldwide: the auctions and issuance of bonds like US Treasuries, UK Gilts, German Bunds, and Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), plus refunding announcements. Demand and yields at these auctions signal how much confidence investors have in a government's debt, which feeds straight into rates and currencies.
• Earnings — company results, most reported quarterly, though some follow other schedules, covering revenue, profit, and forward guidance. A single report can swing a stock sharply, and heavy earnings weeks set the tone for whole sectors.
• Corporate Actions — mechanical changes a company makes to its own stock: splits, reverse splits, dividends, and buybacks. They don't change what the business is worth, but they change share count, price, and payouts, which matters to anyone holding the stock.
• Company Events — company-hosted moments that move a stock outside of earnings: product launches, developer showcases, sales events, and investor days. These are the scheduled catalysts where a company tells its story and the market reacts.
• Mergers, Acquisitions & Deals — transactions that change who owns or controls a business: mergers, acquisitions, spinoffs, divestitures, and asset sales. Deal news can reprice both the buyer and the target and send ripples across an entire industry.
• Sector & Industry Conferences — multi-company gatherings where a whole industry convenes. Announcements and deal-making at these events can move a cluster of related stocks at once.
• Market Structure Events — the plumbing of the markets: index rebalances and reconstitutions, triple witching, and major contract expirations. These force large, mechanical buying and selling as funds adjust their holdings, spiking volume and volatility regardless of the news.
• IPO — new companies coming to market: traditional initial public offerings (IPOs), direct listings, and the lockup expirations that follow, when early investors are finally free to sell. Debuts draw attention and capital, while lockup expirations can pressure a stock months after it lists.
• Commodities & Energy — scheduled events that drive oil, gas, metals, and agricultural markets, such as Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meetings and US Department of Agriculture (USDA) crop reports. These are the supply-and-demand signals that set commodity prices and feed into inflation.
• Cryptocurrencies — scheduled milestones in digital assets: Bitcoin halvings, token unlocks, and major network upgrades. Each can shift a token's supply or utility, and increasingly spills over into crypto-linked equities.
• Marquee Events — the cultural and sporting spectacles the whole world watches: the Super Bowl, the World Cup, the Olympics, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday. They may not look like market events, but they drive ad spending, consumer behavior, travel, and betting activity in measurable ways.
• Geopolitical — political and fiscal events with market-wide stakes: elections, debt-ceiling and government-shutdown standoffs, Group of 7 (G7) and Group of 20 (G20) summits, referendums, and tariff actions. These are the one-off, high-stakes moments where policy can reprice everything from currencies to whole indexes.
• Credit Ratings — scheduled reviews and changes to the creditworthiness of governments and companies by agencies like Moody's, S&P, and Fitch. An upgrade or downgrade can move a country's borrowing costs or a company's bonds and stock, and reviews often fall on published dates.
• Legal & Court Rulings — court decisions with market impact: antitrust trials, major verdicts, and high-court rulings from bodies like the US Supreme Court and the EU Court of Justice. A ruling can force a business to change how it operates, reshape an industry, or land in favor of one side of a deal — and the outcome moves the stocks tied to it.
• Regulatory & Compliance — deadlines and effective dates set by regulators and industry bodies. Includes US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) drug-decision dates set under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA), settlement-cycle changes like the move to T+1, and other rules with a hard date attached: known moments when something legally takes effect.

Reading the Calendar

Filters

Narrow the view to specific categories.

Search by Name

Find a specific company or event fast. You don't have to know the exact official name: many events also carry nicknames, shorthand, or acronyms, and search matches all of them. Look for "FOMC" and you'll find the Federal Reserve Rate Decision; look for "jobs report" and you'll find Nonfarm Payrolls. You're not locked into one strict naming convention.

Unconfirmed Dates

Some events, especially earnings far in the future, don't have an officially confirmed date yet. Using our own forward-looking scheduling model, we project when each is most likely to fall and mark it ⚠ Unconfirmed. When the official date is announced, the flag comes off and the date locks. An unconfirmed date means "expect it around here," not "this is final."

Market Holidays

Market closures don't get event cards. Instead, small country flags sit next to a date whenever a market is closed or closing early that day. Flags for the biggest markets come first, and a +number tells you how many more there are. Click or tap the date to see each country, its exchange, and what's affected, such as stocks closed or closing early at a set time. A ⚠ Unconfirmed tag means that holiday date is still an estimate. Everyone sees market holidays, on every plan.

Sunday

Mar 21

Monday

Mar 22

Tuesday

Mar 23

Wednesday

Mar 24

Thursday

Mar 25

Friday

Mar 26

Click or tap the date — opens the full list of closures for that day.

Country flags — each flag is a market that's closed or closing early that day. The biggest markets come first.

+18

The +number — how many more markets are closed. Click or tap the date to see all of them.

Saturday

Mar 27

Friday, Mar 2622 Markets

Day and count — this row stays pinned at the top while you scroll the list.

United States — Good Friday

Country and holiday — who's closed, why, and which exchange is affected.

NYSE and Nasdaq

Stock market closed

Status — says in plain words what's closed, or when a market closes early.

Euro Area — Good Friday

Euronext

Stock market closed

United Kingdom — Good Friday

London Stock Exchange

Stock market closed

Scroll for 19 more markets

Hover any part to see what it's telling you. A small clock on a flag means that market closes early instead of shutting for the day.

Views

Keep the month grid expanded for a top-down view of only the most high-profile events across an extended timeline, or contract it for an all-encompassing view of what to watch this week.

The Multi-Day Events Lane

Most events are a single moment. Some run for days — a conference, a congressional recess, a summit. Those don't fit in one day's column, so they get their own lane beneath the calendar, drawn as bars across the same 7 days. Hover any part to see what it's telling you.

Expected Move

When you see ±4.8% on an earnings card, that is not our forecast. It is not an analyst's target. It is the number the options market itself is charging for.

It answers a single question: how far could this stock move by the time this event is over?

It says nothing about direction. A big expected move does not mean "this stock is going up." It means the market thinks this stock is about to move a lot, one way or the other, and it's willing to pay for protection accordingly.

Where the Number Actually Comes From

Every event with an expected move has a real, tradeable options market behind it. We read that market and translate it into a single number. Here is the logic, in order.

1. Options Prices Contain a Forecast

An option is a contract that pays off if a stock moves past a certain price by a certain date. The price of that contract is set by supply and demand from thousands of participants — market makers, hedge funds, retail traders.

That price embeds a collective bet on how volatile the stock is about to be. When people expect fireworks, options get expensive. When they expect a quiet quarter, options get cheap. So: the price of the options is the forecast. We just have to read it out.

2. The At-the-Money Straddle Is the Cleanest Read

An at-the-money (ATM) straddle means buying both the call and the put at the strike price closest to where the stock is trading right now.

• Call — pays off if the stock goes up
• Put — pays off if the stock goes down
• Strike price — the level at which the contract starts paying
• At-the-money — that level is sitting right where the stock currently is

Buy both, and you profit if the stock moves far enough in either direction. You lose if it sits still. That makes the straddle a pure bet on size of move, not direction — exactly what we want to measure. And because ATM options carry no built-in profit yet, their entire price is expectation. Nothing else is muddying the signal.

The cost of that straddle is the market's price tag on the move.

3. We Use the Expiration That Covers the Event

We pull the first options contract that is still alive when the news lands. An earnings report on a Tuesday is measured against the options expiring that Friday — the contracts that actually have to survive the announcement. A company that reports after the close on a Friday is measured against the next expiry, because that Friday's contracts are already finished by the time the news is out.

This matters. The expected move on a stock is not a single fixed number; it depends on the window you're asking about. We always ask about the window that contains the event.

4. We Convert the Straddle Price Into a Range

Raw straddle price slightly overstates the move. The industry rule of thumb — used on institutional trading desks for decades — is to haircut it:

That 0.85 factor is what turns the straddle cost into a clean 1 standard deviation estimate.

Worked Example

Say a stock is trading at $100 going into earnings. Drag the straddle price below and watch the range breathe — a pricier straddle means a wider expected move.

What "1 Standard Deviation" Means, in English

1 standard deviation is a statistics term. Here's what it means for you:

The expected move marks out a normal-sized reaction for this stock, in either direction.

That's it. Not a guarantee. Not a ceiling. Stocks land outside the range too — and when they do, they can miss by a lot. Think of it as the market's best estimate, not its fence.

How to Actually Use It

Calibrate your surprise. If a stock is priced for ±3% and it moves 3%, nothing happened — the market got exactly what it paid for. If it's priced for ±3% and it moves 11%, that is news. After the event, the actual move sits right beside the expected one, so you can tell which it was at a glance.

Spot the events that matter. Scan the week. The names with unusually large expected moves are the ones the market is genuinely uncertain about. That's where the information is.

Compare a stock to itself. A ±9% expected move is enormous for a mega-cap bank and utterly routine for a small-cap biotech. The number is only meaningful against that company's own history. Previous reactions shows you that history.

Sanity-check your own thesis. If you think a stock is going to rip 15% on earnings and the options market is pricing ±4%, you are making a real bet against a real crowd. That's fine — but now you know the odds you're taking.

Expected vs Actual

The expected move is only half the story. Once the news is out, we put the real move right beside it, so you can see whether the market got what it paid for.

Every event with an expected move carries 3 numbers:

• Expected Move — what the options market priced in, frozen at our last read before the news.
• After the Event — how far the stock actually moved by the first US market close after the news.
• Move by Expiry — how far it had moved by the close on the day those options expired.

Before the event, the 2 results sit blank. Each fills in as it arrives, with its date underneath. Green means the stock rose, red means it fell. The expected move has no color because it never picks a direction.

Both results start from the same line. We measure from the stock's last closing price before the news. A company that reports after the close on Tuesday is measured from Tuesday's close. One that reports before the open on Tuesday is measured from Monday's close, so its After the Event result lands at Tuesday's close, the same day as the report.

Why 2 results. The first reaction is often outsized. Move by Expiry shows where the stock stood once the dust settled, over the same window the expected move was pricing. When the options expire the very next day, the 2 results match.

The number stops moving. Once the news is out, the expected move no longer updates. What you see afterward is always a read taken before the announcement, never after it.

When results appear. Each result is filled in the next trading morning. A Friday result shows up on Monday.

The asterisk. Some stocks only have options that expire once a month. When that expiry falls more than 7 days after the event, Move by Expiry carries an asterisk — that move reflects more than the event alone.

Previous Reactions

Under the 3 numbers, Previous reactions opens the same row for earlier events of the same kind — Apple earnings beside earlier Apple earnings, not beside a product launch. It's the "compare a stock to itself" test, done for you.

The history begins when this calendar started saving its reads. Options prices from the past can't be looked up afterward, so there is nothing older to show. How far back you can look depends on your plan.

Why Some Events Don't Have a Number

Not every company on this calendar has a tradeable options market in the United States. We are honest about that rather than filling the gap with a guess.

A Caveat on Foreign Companies

When we calculate an expected move for a non-US company, we are reading the options on its US-listed ADR — because that is where the tradeable options live.

An ADR's price reflects 2 things moving at once: the underlying stock in its home market, and the exchange rate between that currency and the dollar.

So a ±5% expected move on a Japanese company's ADR includes some yen/dollar noise baked in. It is still the best available read on the event, and it is what a US options trader would actually face — but it is not a clean measure of the local share price alone. Treat it as directionally right, not surgically precise.

Update Schedule

Expected moves are refreshed twice every weekday, while the US market is open. Options prices move continuously during the session; the number you see reflects the most recent of those 2 reads, not a live quote.

Why during market hours. That's when options are being actively quoted. Before the open, the previous day's quotes are cleared and the contracts sit listed with no prices beside them, so a read taken then would come back blank.

The last read of the day stays in place overnight and through the weekend, until the next refresh.

Once the news is out, the number freezes. It stays at the last read taken before the announcement. The actual moves are added the next trading morning.

Events more than a few weeks out often have thin or nonexistent options markets. Numbers get sharper as the event approaches.

Where the Data Comes From

Events are curated by hand. This isn't a scraped feed — every event is placed, categorized, and checked deliberately. That's why the calendar is coherent instead of noisy.

Expected moves are calculated from live US options data, refreshed twice every weekday.

Actual moves are measured from official US closing prices, never from a live or after-hours quote.

Charts pull recent price history for stocks and ADRs, and official data series for economic releases.

News is sourced from established financial wires, with relevant headlines attached to events where available.

Honest Limitations

We'd rather tell you where the edges are than pretend they don't exist.

• Unconfirmed dates move. Anything flagged as unconfirmed can shift when the official date is announced. Plan accordingly.
• Expected moves are probabilities, not promises. The number tells you what's likely, not what's certain.
• A far-off expiry blurs the result. When a stock's options expire more than 7 days after the event, Move by Expiry reflects more than the event alone. Those are marked with an asterisk.
• The track record has a starting line. We can only show results from the point this calendar began saving its reads. And if a clean read couldn't be taken before the news, that event shows no numbers afterward. We'd rather leave it blank than use one taken too late.
• Foreign-company moves carry currency noise. See the ADR caveat above.
• Coverage has gaps. Some events have no options market, no US listing, or no clean data series. Where we can't measure something honestly, we leave it blank rather than guess.